Econ AP @UofT, Y Combinator Research PI, Social Science Prediction Platform PI, AidGrade founder. Likes effective altruism & math. Ex-World Bank, Berkeley grad.
Join Nick Otis, @evavivalt, @arunadvaniecon, and @sdellavi 11:25 am-12:25 pm PT tomorrow, Jan. 7, at the
@UCBITSS Annual Meeting, for a discussion of the #SocSciPrediction platform and results from a couple of the early SSPP projects.
Registration link below.
Join us for the 9th BITSS Annual Meeting, which will be hosted online on Jan. 7-8!
#BITSS2020#OpenScience
See the agenda + RSVP for a Zoom link: bitss.org/events/9thbitssam
A few highlights from the agenda👇
If the new strain does spread more easily (higher R0), a lot more people will need to be vaccinated to reach herd immunity. Perhaps pushes out a return to normal by some months.
Department holiday party on Zoom had a game, organized by the grad students, where you saw photos of faculty members from early childhood and had to guess who was who. My pic:
If the study was partially unblinded due to side effects and the treatment group guessed it worked and took more risks, the efficacy could be slightly underestimated. ("Severe side effects included fatigue in 9.7% of participants, muscle pain in 8.9%...") sciencemag.org/news/2020/11/…
(Unless it's 100% effective among those who have strong side effects, in which case it doesn't matter if they change their behaviour. Seems plausible that side effects would be correlated with efficacy though I haven't read anything about it.)