Statistician: + evidence, risk, probability, chance, uncertainty. Chair, Winton Centre. Author- The Art of Statistics. Own opinions. I shun rude or anonymous

Cambridge, England
Joined September 2009
David Spiegelhalter retweeted
NEW video from me & @tomhannen addressing more myths that have been used to play down Covid this winter. Featuring: • Why delays in death registration (& bad charts) wrongly led people to think there was minimal excess mortality • "Excess winter deaths" are not "excess deaths"
The FT's @jburnmurdoch explains why the UK's Covid-19 death rate is likely to rise further. Watch the full video: ft.com/video/0cd6f9f9-664e-4…
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David Spiegelhalter retweeted
Important slide of COVID demographics in England. What impact does vaccinating over-75s or over-65s have? → vaccinate small % of population → target most deaths → large amount of hosp. admissions but less ICU → small % of cases From @chrischirp at @IndependentSage briefing
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David Spiegelhalter retweeted
The UK is currently publishing less data on its otherwise impressive vaccine rollout than other countries. I've done some international comparative analysis for @CFPData. Thread (1/9)
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Extraordinary data from Scotland on excess deaths by cause and location in 2020 nrscotland.gov.uk/files/stat… 6,686 deaths involving COVID-19 closely match 6,704 excess over 5-year average. But 570 *fewer* deaths than normal in hospitals, even with over 3,000 Covid deaths! ?????
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Deaths at home normally around 12,000, but *17,000* in 2020 (>40% extra). Extra 1,800 cancer deaths at home, 1,000 from heart disease and strokes. So massive change in place of death in Scotland – very similar to England and Wales. But what has the end-of-life care been like?
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