Pollster, election analyst, founder of Number Cruncher (@NCPoliticsUK|@NCPoliticsEU|@NCSpo) love sports (volleyball, F1) travel and Alsace Wine. Own views
The Small Business Party's name change to WAXit Party has been officially approved by the WA Electoral Commissioner. Still waiting to hear about re-naming of Flux to 'Liberals for Climate' and Daylight Saving Party to 'National Liberals'. #wapolantonygreen.com.au/updating-…
Pretty sure this is the first poll anywhere to show a Lab to Con swing (of 1%) compared with the election result since Domgate. (Both parties polling lower than the 2019 result in Wales).
While Labour’s slump may be Covid-related, it’s worth remembering that Labour has underperformed the GB-wide swing horrendously in midterm Welsh Westminster polling in the last couple of cycles, only to recover strongly at election time. So it may just be that...
For years, devolved governments never got the blame for the things that went wrong, as most people thought they just handled road improvements & ‘nice’ local things
Maybe Covid (and not repeated attempts by Whitehall to educate the public on devolution) has finally changed that.